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Summary of Industry trends from the 2024 NBJ

Written by Dustin Elliott | Nov 13, 2024 10:54:39 PM

The 2024 "State of the Supplement Industry" report provides an in-depth analysis of current trends in the U.S. supplement market, focusing on consumer behavior, market performance, product category growth, and emerging trends across different health concerns.

 

Consumer Behavior and Trust

  • New Supplement Users: 38% of consumers started taking supplements within the last two years, with a notable portion from Generation Z (56% of Gen Z began using supplements recently).
  • Trust in Supplements: Gen Z exhibits the highest trust levels, with 35% expressing a lot of trust and a combined 79% reporting moderate to high levels of trust. Overall, 72% of respondents said their trust in supplements has remained steady, while 34% of Millennials and 27% of Gen Z stated their trust has increased.

Market Size and Projections

  • The U.S. supplement market is projected to reach $67 billion in 2024, rebounding from a 2022 dip and surpassing pre-COVID projections by about $3 billion. This renewed growth is driven by shifts in consumer behavior, increasing interest in wellness, and strong performance in key product categories.
  • Categories such as sports nutrition (+8.0% growth in 2024), specialty supplements (+6.5%), meal replacements (+5.5%), and minerals (+4.1%) are leading market expansion.

Category-Specific Insights

  • Sports Nutrition: This segment remains robust, expected to see a $3.2 billion increase between 2023 and 2027, with functional sports protein beverages, protein powders, BCAAs, and pre-workouts driving sales.
  • Specialty Supplements: This category, which includes collagen, probiotics, Omega-3s, and CoQ10, is projected to grow by 6.5% in 2024, benefiting from more condition-focused innovations. Specialty supplements are expected to add $3.59 billion in revenue by 2027.
  • Herbs and Botanicals: This category is seeing renewed strength, led by combination herbal products. It is expected to grow by 5.4% in 2024, with a total increase of $2.7 billion by 2027.
  • Minerals: Magnesium leads the mineral category, representing 41.9% of the market and growing at an 8.8% rate. The mineral market overall is projected to increase by $789 million between 2023 and 2027.
  • Vitamins: Growth in this category is primarily driven by the resurgence of multivitamins. Vitamins are expected to see a $1.8 billion increase by 2027, with growth reaching 2.4% CAGR from 2023 to 2027.

Delivery Format Trends

  • Non-pill Formats: There is a growing preference for non-pill delivery formats, which are expected to capture 65% of the market share by 2024. Formats such as gummies, powders, liquids, and effervescent products are popular among younger consumers. In particular, Gen Z shows a strong preference for gummies, with 38% indicating they favor this format.
  • Gummies hold the largest share of the non-pill market, while powders lead in growth, with an 8.9% projected increase in 2024.

Sales Channel Shifts

  • E-commerce: With a projected growth rate of 9.8% in 2024, e-commerce continues to be the fastest-growing sales channel for supplements. Amazon plays a major role, with nearly 23% of e-commerce sales occurring on the platform. Overall, one out of every five dollars spent on supplements is spent on Amazon.
  • Mass Market: This channel is stabilizing at 5.4% growth as more consumers seek cost-effective options for supplements.
  • Natural & Specialty Retail: While still growing, the natural and specialty retail sector is losing market share compared to mass market and e-commerce channels.

Health and Wellness Trends

The report identifies several health conditions that are driving consumer demand for supplements in 2024:

  • Immunity: Following the pandemic, immunity remains a top concern, with the category projected to grow by 3.7% in 2024. Popular ingredients include mushrooms and combination herbal products.
  • Energy and Fitness: This category is expected to generate $12.24 billion in 2024 sales, driven by products that provide sustained energy, cognitive function, and support for physical endurance. Ingredients like B vitamins, collagen, and combination herbs are gaining traction.
  • Gut Health: Growing awareness of the gut-brain axis is boosting the gastrointestinal health market, which is projected to grow by 6.0% in 2024. Probiotics, prebiotics, and digestive enzymes lead this category.
  • Brain Health: Supplements supporting cognitive function and mental clarity are seeing strong growth, with $1.42 billion in estimated sales for 2024 and a projected growth of 8.3% CAGR from 2022 to 2026. Mushrooms and combination herbs are driving this trend.
  • Mood and Mental Health: Ashwagandha, magnesium, and combination herbs are the top ingredients for mood support, contributing to the category’s 7.3% growth in 2024.
  • Healthy Aging: As the aging population grows, so does interest in supplements that support longevity and vitality. This category is projected to grow by 7.4% in 2024, with mushrooms, resveratrol, and CoQ10 leading the way.

Emerging Market Opportunities

  • Weight Management: This category is regaining pre-pandemic growth levels, fueled by meal replacements and probiotics. Estimated 2024 sales are $7.18 billion, with an increase of $1.86 billion expected between 2023 and 2027.
  • Sexual Health: Consumer interest in sexual health supplements is rising, with $1.25 billion in estimated 2024 sales. Ingredients like ashwagandha and maca are driving growth.
  • Cold, Flu, and Immunity: As cold and flu season approaches, immunity-related supplements are projected to grow by 3.7% in 2024, with combination herbal products and mushrooms at the forefront.

Conclusion

The 2024 supplement industry is defined by dynamic shifts in consumer behavior, particularly among younger generations like Gen Z, and by strong growth in non-pill formats. Categories such as sports nutrition, brain health, immunity, and gut health are poised for sustained growth. E-commerce, led by platforms like Amazon, is the dominant sales channel, while product innovation, particularly in condition-specific supplements, is key to driving market expansion. As the focus on health optimization and longevity increases, the supplement industry is well-positioned for robust growth in the coming years.